Bilal Hasanjee provides a mid-year update of Vanguard's views on the Canadian, US, and international economies; expected returns for bonds and equities; and the future impact of COVID-19-related government debt.
Amid the COVID-19 pandemic, the International Monetary Fund lowered its forecast for growth in emerging and developing economies for both 2020 and 2021. The way out won't be easy. But not all is lost for emerging markets.
The low-interest-rate environment is a favorable backdrop for developed markets to retire pandemic-related debt. Central banks, meanwhile, may soon provide guidance on how they'll start unwinding assets.
A confluence of factors over the decade since the global financial crisis has steadily nudged the corporate bond market down the investment-grade quality scale. The COVID-19 pandemic threatens to knock some issuers off the scale completely.
01 Jun 2020
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