Valuable insights for you and your clients
Vanguard's global outlook for 2020: Muted Global Growth but Canada is a Bright Spot
Vanguard economists see slowing global growth and elevated uncertainty as a damper on markets in 2020 and beyond. But we predict Canada will lead developed economies with 1.6% growth.
Vanguard Economic and Market Outlook for 2020: The New Age of Uncertainty
Read the Global Outlook Summary to learn more about our expectations for market performance in 2020 and beyond.
Uncertainty on trade shapes Fed policy options
Vanguard's Joe Davis looks at how uncertainty may shape the Federal Open Market Committee's thinking about short-term interest rates during their September meeting.
What to do when markets sell off
U.S.-China trade-related market volatility has rattled the markets, but there's something investors can do in response.
Spotlight articles
A midyear update on Vanguard's economic and market outlook
A lot has happened since Vanguard published its global economic and market outlook for 2019. In this article, three Vanguard economists offer their insights on how trade tensions between China and the United States are changing the landscape.
Why inflation remains low (Hint: It's about technology)
Learn how technology is having a dampening effect on inflation and what this means for investors.
Working longer, still spending: A look at graying populations
Research by Vanguard Economist Jonathan Petersen notes that spending by those over 65 appears to shift as their priorities change, but it doesn't decline.
The economics of a graying world
The percentage of the global population age 65 and older is growing, while the younger segment is shrinking. New Vanguard research looks at how this will affect economies and the markets.
Market volatility: Do algorithms play a role?
Vanguard experts offer their perspective on algorithmic trading and volatility.
How should you respond to the global economic slowdown?
Learn where the global economy is headed and why, and how investors should respond.
Vanguard's 2019 economic and market outlook infographic: Down but not out
This infographic highlights Vanguard's expectations for global growth and market returns, in 2019 and beyond.
As the cycle turns: Late-cycle macro risks and asset allocation
As the U.S. economy enters the later stages of its economic expansion, returns are projected to be more modest than in previous late-cycle periods. Tailoring a portfolio to this environment can enhance risk and return characteristics, but it can also expose investors to suboptimal portfolios if scenarios develop differently than expected.
What does a potential China growth scare portend?
China's GDP growth slowed to 6.4% in the fourth quarter of 2018, providing evidence of the U.S.-China trade war's economic toll. Vanguard's Qian Wang looks at the trade talks and whether Chinese stimulus measures will foster economic stability.
Known unknowns: Uncertainty, volatility and the odds of recession
This Vanguard research paper explores how tightening financial conditions and greater policy uncertainty influence the likelihood of recession. The paper also looks at the effects on U.S. Federal Reserve interest rate policy.
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